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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Dulatov to win by KO/TKO? 51% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Fight won by submission? 50% Volume: $677K Liquidity: $386K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Dulatov to win by KO/TKO?51%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov49%
Turman to win by KO/TKO?49%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: wellington turman vs. islam dulatov (welterweight, main card) stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Wellington Turman" if Wellington Turman is officially declared the winner of the fight against Islam Dulatov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 51% for "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $677K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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