Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 98% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 0.5 | 89% |
| Vasteraas SK (-1.5) | 80% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 2.5 | 67% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 2.5 | 65% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 0.5 | 61% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Vasteraas SK (-2.5) | 40% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% |
| O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Orgryte IS (-1.5) | 4% |
| Orgryte IS (-2.5) | 4% |
| O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Västerås SK will host Orgryte IS in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 24 July 2026 at 13:00 local time. The fixture marks a mid-season encounter in the top Swedish league, where additional betting markets—beyond standard match outcomes—allow traders to position on specific events: goal totals, player performance thresholds, or conditional sequences. The 80% implied probability on "More Markets" reflects confidence that supplementary markets will be offered, though the exact scope and timing remain contingent on bookmaker decisions and regulatory approval windows.
Historically, Allsvenskan fixtures of this profile—mid-table or lower-ranked sides—see ancillary markets deployed only when aggregate liquidity forecasts justify the operational overhead. Västerås and Orgryte occupy mid-to-lower standings in recent seasons, making the probability assessment sensitive to whether either club has gained promotional attention or sponsorship-driven market interest. Comparable July fixtures in prior years show that Swedish league matches rarely trigger the full suite of micro-markets available for top-tier derbies, suggesting the 80% figure may reflect a baseline assumption of partial market expansion rather than comprehensive coverage.
Traders monitoring this market should track official Allsvenskan fixture confirmations and any league-wide announcements regarding broadcast partnerships or betting operator agreements in the fortnight before settlement. Regulatory changes within Swedish gambling oversight could accelerate or delay market deployment. Programmatically, conditional order logic would benefit from linking "More Markets" settlement to actual market-feed snapshots rather than relying on fixture-date assumptions alone, since bookmaker timelines often slip beyond scheduled match windows.
Methodology
This page reviews Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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