IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

IK Sirius will host IF Brommapojkarna in an Allsvenskan fixture on 10 August 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 0% crowd probability assigned to this exact-score market reflects the mathematical reality that predicting a precise scoreline among dozens of possible outcomes requires exceptional confidence. Exact-score markets typically see probability mass distributed across 2–3 most likely outcomes (usually 1–1, 1–0, 2–1 variants in Swedish football), with all other specific results trading at minimal odds. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for final confirmation.

Historical Allsvenskan data shows that Sirius and Brommapojkarna occupy mid-table territory, making high-scoring affairs uncommon between them. Comparable fixtures in the league over the past two seasons have settled most frequently on 1–0 or 1–1 results, with scorelines exceeding 2–2 occurring in fewer than 15% of matches. For algorithmic traders, this market functions as a calibration tool: conditional orders can be structured to back specific outcomes only if team news or injury reports shift expected goal differentials, whilst copy-trading strategies benefit from monitoring whether sharp money clusters around particular scorelines ahead of team sheets (typically released 24–48 hours before kick-off).

Traders should monitor Allsvenskan fixture announcements for any postponement notices, which would extend the settlement window indefinitely. Recent squad updates and injury bulletins from both clubs' official channels will be critical inputs for refining scoreline probabilities; a key defender's absence at either club could shift expected outcomes measurably. The "Any Other Score" catch-all resolution category means that any scoreline not explicitly listed settles that outcome, making the granularity of listed options essential to evaluate before committing capital.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.