Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kalmar FF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kalmar FF O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kalmar FF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kalmar FF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kalmar FF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Malmo FF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Kalmar FF (-2.5) | 0% |
| Malmo FF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Kalmar FF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malmo FF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Allsvenskan fixture between Kalmar FF and Malmö FF, played on 20 July 2026 at Guldfågeln Arena, concluded as a 2–2 draw. This outcome directly resolves the “More Markets” prediction contract, which currently shows a 0% crowd-implied probability for the YES side, suggesting the market anticipated a result that did not materialise as a win for either side in the specific sub-market being queried.
Historically, matches between these two clubs in the Allsvenskan have frequently produced tight scorelines, with recent head-to-head data showing a mix of narrow wins and draws. In the 2026 season, Malmö FF has been a consistent contender, yet Kalmar FF has demonstrated resilience at home, often forcing draws against top-tier opposition. The 2–2 result aligns with this pattern of competitive balance, making the 0% probability appear misaligned with the actual match dynamics once the final whistle blew.
Traders evaluating such markets programmatically should monitor pre-match odds movements and post-match settlement feeds via APIs like 365scores or ESPN, which confirm final scores within minutes of completion. Key catalysts include official league announcements on match results and any delayed settlement notices from the platform. As the settlement window closes on 20 July 2026 at 17:00 UTC, automated bots must cross-reference multiple data sources to avoid false negatives from single-feed errors.
Methodology
This page reviews Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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