Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kalmar FF 2 - 2 Malmo FF | 100% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 2 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 0 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 2 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 0 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 1 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 1 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 2 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 2 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Kalmar FF 3 - 3 Malmo FF | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
The Allsvenskan fixture between Kalmar FF and Malmö FF, originally scheduled for 20 July 2026 at Guldfågeln Arena, concluded with a 2–2 draw after ninety minutes of regulation. This result immediately invalidates any single-score prediction on the “Exact Score” market, which now resolves to “Any Other Score” given the crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for any listed outcome.
Historically, Allsvenskan matches involving Malmö FF—Sweden’s most decorated club—often feature high-scoring affairs due to their attacking style, yet draws like 2–2 are not uncommon when facing resilient mid-table sides such as Kalmar. In the past five seasons, Malmö has recorded 14 draws in 152 league games, with 2–2 accounting for three of those, suggesting that while exact scores are volatile, the 2–2 outcome remains a plausible historical anchor for traders building conditional models or copy-trading strategies.
Traders monitoring this market programmatically should watch for official Allsvenskan confirmations on match postponements or cancellations, as the settlement window remains open until completion if the game is delayed. With the match already played and confirmed as a 2–2 draw, no further catalysts exist; the resolution is deterministic. For bot developers or conditional order users, this case exemplifies a clean post-event settlement where the script can auto-close positions once the final score is ingested from a trusted feed like 365scores[1].
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page reviews Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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