Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5) | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Romania SuperLiga fixture between FC Universitatea Cluj and FCV Farul Constanţa concluded on 19 July 2026 at Cluj Arena, with Universitatea securing a 2–1 victory [2][3]. Universitatea entered the match as the pre-match favourite, priced at odds of 1.95, reflecting their stronger home form relative to Farul’s away record [1]. The game finished within the settlement window, confirming the real-world outcome that underpins the market’s resolution.
Historically, “more markets” in SuperLiga fixtures involving Universitatea Cluj at home rarely resolve to YES when the crowd-implied probability sits at 0%, as these secondary bets typically hinge on rare events like red cards, penalty shootouts, or extreme scorelines that did not materialise here. Comparable cases from the 2024–25 season show that when the favourite wins by a single goal in a tight contest, ancillary markets such as “both teams to score over 2.5” or “extra time” consistently fail, reinforcing the 0% valuation as a rational reflection of the match’s actual trajectory [1].
Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor post-match data feeds for settlement triggers, focusing on official league confirmations rather than third-party aggregators that may lag. Key catalysts include the final match report from the Romanian Football Federation, which validates goal timings and disciplinary actions that could affect conditional orders [4]. With the result already confirmed as a 2–1 home win, no further announcements or schedule dependencies remain active, rendering the market closed for automated copy-trading or bot execution [3].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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