Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Atlanta United FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Atlanta United FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Charlotte FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Atlanta United FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Charlotte FC’s meeting with Atlanta United FC is the relevant underlying event for this “more markets” contract, and the main practical point is that the market settles on whatever the exchange classifies as the additional pricing or side-market outcome for the MLS fixture scheduled for 22 July at 8:15 pm ET. The crowd-implied probability is 0% YES, so a programmatic trader would normally treat that as either stale pricing, an absent order book, or a contract that has already been functionally discounted by the crowd rather than as a live consensus on match content.
For framing, the recent head-to-head is not especially one-sided. Atlanta beat Charlotte 2-0 in April in league play, while an earlier US Open Cup tie between the clubs also finished 2-0 to Atlanta[2][4][5]. A separate match page for the July 22 game indicates the contest ended level and even describes the outcome as a push, which is a reminder that “more markets” contracts can be highly sensitive to exact settlement wording rather than to the headline result alone[3]. For tooling users, that means the cleanest workflow is to monitor the exchange rules, pull the live market definition into your script, and avoid assuming that the football scoreline is enough to infer settlement.
The main catalysts are therefore administrative rather than tactical: line-up confirmation, any late schedule adjustment, and whether the specific sub-market is tied to goals, cards, corners, or another stat that only finalises after official match data is published. The live match feed also shows an under-5.5 goals projection, which may matter only if the contract is linked to goal totals rather than another statistic[1]. In practice, conditional orders and copy-trading logic should key off the exact market identifier and settlement clause, because two markets on the same fixture can diverge sharply once the official event feed updates.
Methodology
We track Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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