Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming MLB fixture between the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for 6:40pm ET on 26 June at Comerica Park in Detroit, has already concluded with the Astros securing a 2–1 victory. This real-world outcome renders the current crowd-implied probability of 0% for the Astros to win as technically accurate, yet it highlights a critical lag in market settlement where the price has not yet adjusted to the final result.

Historically, similar MLB markets with delayed resolution often exhibit a sharp probability correction once official final statistics are recognised by the governing body, as seen in previous games where line movements shifted abruptly post-final score. For a power-user employing conditional orders or copy-trading bots, this scenario frames a clear utility test: the tool must detect the discrepancy between the live score and the market price to execute an arbitrage before the settlement window closes on 3 July 2026.

Traders should monitor the official final statistics release from MLB.TV and governing body announcements, which serve as the primary resolution source for this market. Recent coverage from Sportsline confirms the Tigers were listed as a -118 favourite on the money line prior to the game, yet the Astros’ win contradicts this pre-match expectation, underscoring the need to verify real-time data dependencies rather than relying on static odds lines [2]. The market will remain open only if the game is postponed, but with the contest completed, the focus shifts entirely to the automated update of the resolution source.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.