LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Solid faces RMD Gaming in a single-game League of Legends match for the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, originally set for 7:00PM ET on 20 July. Despite the crowd-implied probability sitting at 100% YES for Team Solid, historical data contradicts this certainty: Strafe users previously favoured Team Solid with 88.8% support in a February 2026 matchup, yet RMD Gaming won that contest 1–0[2][4]. Recent competitive records show Team Solid holding an 11% win rate across 1–8 results, while RMD Gaming secured a 1–0 victory in the same tournament split earlier in the year[5][3].

Programmatically, traders should treat the 100% probability as a potential liquidity anomaly rather than a factual guarantee, especially given the team’s poor recent form. Key catalysts include official match confirmation from the Circuito Desafiante schedule, any roster announcements affecting Team Solid’s lineup, and delay notifications beyond the seven-day resolution window[1]. A recent Russian sports forecast site noted the match was scheduled for 21 July with a 1:0 score prediction, but this does not override the live outcome dependency[7]. Conditional orders should trigger only upon verified match commencement, as unresolved delays or cancellations default the market to 50–50.

Copy-trading bots must monitor Strafe and Bo3.gg for real-time score updates, since past results show RMD Gaming’s ability to defeat Team Solid despite lower crowd sentiment[2][4]. The settlement window closing on 21 July 2026 at 04:30 UTC requires automated systems to flag any unresolved status before expiry. Traders evaluating this market should cross-reference live scores against the 100% implied probability to identify mispriced risk, particularly given Team Solid’s 1–8 record and RMD Gaming’s prior win[5][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.