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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Any Player Quadra Kill 61% Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) 59% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $385K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Any Player Quadra Kill61%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?39%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
Game 1 Winner26%
Game 2 Winner26%
Any Player Penta Kill24%
Any Player Penta Kill24%
Match Winner18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor11%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor11%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors6%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors6%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of lol: lgd gaming vs bilibili gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 20 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LG…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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