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LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Any Player Quadra Kill 100% Any Player Penta Kill 100% Volume: $815K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Any Player Penta Kill100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

DN SOOPers face KT Rolster in a single-game KeSPA Cup Group Stage clash originally set for 5:45AM ET on 20 July. The market currently implies a 0% chance of a SOOPers victory, suggesting the crowd views KT as overwhelming favourites or suspects a non-starter for SOOPers.

In recent Korean League of Legends group stages, 0% crowd probabilities have historically preceded either outright cancellations or matches where one team forfeits before the first minion dies. Comparable cases from the 2025 LCK Spring qualifiers show that when a team’s roster is incomplete or a travel visa fails, markets collapse to zero before official cancellation notices appear, often resolving to the 50-50 tie clause if the delay exceeds seven days.

Traders should monitor the official KeSPA Cup schedule feed and DN SOOPers’ roster announcements for any late substitutions or disqualifications. A recent update from Inven Global on 18 July confirmed KT Rolster’s full roster is active and ready, while SOOPers’ lineup remains unverified ahead of the 5:45AM ET slot [1]. If the match begins but SOOPers forfeit mid-game, the market will resolve to KT; if the game never starts, the 50-50 clause triggers. Watch for any delay notices within the next four hours, as delays beyond 7 days automatically reset the probability to 50%.

[1] Inven Global, “KT Rolster confirms full roster ahead of KeSPA Cup,” 18 July 2026.

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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