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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 89% Game 1 Winner 81% Game 2 Winner 81% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 77% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $383K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner89%
Game 1 Winner81%
Game 2 Winner81%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?77%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)67%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?36%
O/U 2.5 Games33%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 89% probability to lol: bilibili gaming vs edward gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Gr… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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