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Philadelphia Union vs. Club Necaxa - Exact Score

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Philadelphia Union vs. Club Necaxa - Exact Score" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Review UK.

Philadelphia Union 3 - 1 Club Necaxa 100% Philadelphia Union 0 - 0 Club Necaxa 0% Philadelphia Union 0 - 1 Club Necaxa 0% Philadelphia Union 1 - 0 Club Necaxa 0% Volume: $48K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Philadelphia Union vs. Club Necaxa - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Philadelphia Union 3 - 1 Club Necaxa100%
Philadelphia Union 0 - 0 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 0 - 1 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 1 - 0 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 0 - 2 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 1 - 1 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 2 - 0 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 0 - 3 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 1 - 2 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 2 - 1 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 3 - 0 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 1 - 3 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 2 - 2 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 2 - 3 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 3 - 2 Club Necaxa0%
Philadelphia Union 3 - 3 Club Necaxa0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Philadelphia Union played Club Necaxa in the Leagues Cup and won 3-1, with the match finishing inside regulation rather than going to extra time or penalties.[1][13] For an exact-score market, that sort of settled result matters because only the 90-minute scoreline counts, and any unlisted outcome would have rolled to “Any Other Score”.[1]

The current crowd-implied 0% YES is consistent with how exact-score markets are usually priced: the field is fragmented across many scorelines, so any single listed result starts with a very low base rate unless there is a strong reason to concentrate action on one number. Comparable recent scores for both clubs show volatility rather than a single dominant pattern: Philadelphia’s run included 3-2, 1-0, 3-1 and 6-4-type games, while Necaxa’s recent fixtures included 2-1, 2-0, 3-1 and 3-6 outcomes.[3][5] In practical tooling terms, a trader would model this as a multi-outcome distribution and compare the quoted price against the implied probability of each exact score, not just the match winner.

The main catalysts to watch are line-up confirmations, travel and scheduling compression, and whether either side has rested starters in the surrounding Leagues Cup slate.[2][5][15] Philadelphia entered the match off a 1-0 loss to Cruz Azul, while Necaxa had just lost 2-0 to Chicago Fire, which can matter for goal expectancy and rotation decisions.[5][15] For programmatic workflows, the useful triggers are the official team sheets, any late injury updates, and live status changes around postponement or abandonment, because the market stays open until the fixture is completed and resolves only on the final 90-minute score.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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