Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5 | 62% |
| O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang (-1.5) | 36% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 17% |
| FC Anyang (-2.5) | 12% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 meet FC Anyang in a K-League fixture with the “more markets” contract settling on whether the listed event pages and live market plumbing stay available through kickoff. The crowd-implied **17% YES** price suggests traders are treating this as a low-probability ancillary market rather than a core match-result view, so a programmatic approach would usually key off whether the fixture remains scheduled, materially changed, or supplemented by extra market listings before the 10:30 UTC settlement cut-off.
Historically, Bucheon and Anyang have been a fairly balanced pairing, but with Anyang holding the stronger edge across the long run: FootyStats lists 48 head-to-head meetings, with Anyang winning 20, Bucheon 13, and 15 draws[6]. Current season context also leans slightly towards Anyang, who sit above Bucheon in the available standings snapshot and have scored more while conceding fewer goals[1]. That combination helps explain why a low YES price can persist even when the underlying football matchup is not one-sided, because the market is not simply pricing the result — it is pricing the presence of additional tradable sub-markets around the game.
For a trader using tools, the key catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: whether the fixture page, kickoff time, and market set remain unchanged as the event approaches, and whether the exchange or data feed continues to show the match as active. The scheduled start is 6:30 AM ET on 22 July[2], while third-party market pages still show posted odds for the game itself, which is the sort of live state a bot or conditional order would monitor for last-minute changes[3]. If a feed drops, a market is delayed, or extra props are added, the odds on a “more markets” contract can re-rate quickly because the contract depends on marketplace availability, not on the final scoreline.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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