Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

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Market context

The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage will feature Qatar against Switzerland on 13 June at 3:00 PM ET. This market resolves on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score," which typically captures the majority of probability mass in exact-score markets. The 5% implied probability for this specific outcome suggests traders are pricing in either a narrow range of plausible scorelines or significant uncertainty about team performance at the tournament.

Historical World Cup group-stage matches between nations at similar competitive levels show exact scores cluster around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results, with draws occurring in roughly 25–30% of fixtures. Qatar's World Cup 2022 performance—eliminated in the group stage without a win—provides limited predictive value for 2026 squad composition and tactical adjustments. Switzerland's consistent qualification record and defensive solidity offer more stable baseline expectations, though both teams will have undergone significant roster changes by 2026. Comparing this market's current odds to broader tournament forecasts reveals traders are treating this as a relatively low-probability exact outcome, consistent with how exact-score markets typically distribute probability across 15–20 possible results.

Traders monitoring this market should track squad announcements from both federations in spring 2026, particularly injury status and formation changes. Pre-tournament friendlies in May–June will provide form data; recent UEFA Nations League results for Switzerland and any official Qatar warm-up fixtures should inform conditional order logic. Fixture scheduling changes remain possible until final confirmation, though the settlement window closure at 19:00 UTC on match day provides a hard deadline for resolution.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.