Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina will meet in a World Cup group stage fixture on 12 June 2026, with settlement contingent on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 10% implied probability for a specific scoreline reflects the combinatorial challenge: whilst there are roughly 150 plausible match outcomes across all possible score combinations, this market requires precision on a single result. For algorithmic traders, this presents a liquidity-fragmentation problem—capital dispersed across dozens of near-equivalent outcomes means even favourited scorelines trade at compressed odds.

Historical precedent suggests Canada-Bosnia encounters rarely produce extreme results. In their only competitive meeting (2022 World Cup qualification), Canada won 1–0. Bosnia's recent tournament form shows they average 1.2 goals per match in competitive play, whilst Canada typically scores 1–1.5 per game. A 1–0 or 2–1 Canada victory would align with both teams' offensive profiles and historical head-to-head patterns, yet these outcomes individually remain sub-15% propositions. Traders using conditional order logic should monitor team sheets 48 hours pre-match; injuries to Bosnia's midfield (particularly Pjanić if selected) or Canada's attacking depth would shift expected goal distributions measurably.

Fixture scheduling and group composition matter operationally. Canada's remaining warm-up matches and Bosnia's injury recovery timeline between qualification and the tournament will influence squad rotation decisions. Conditional bots tracking official squad announcements from FIFA or national federations on 5–6 June would capture material shifts in expected output before the settlement window closes.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.