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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Review UK.

Match Winner 66% Game 2 Winner 62% Game 1 Winner 61% Ends in Daytime 54% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $530K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner66%
Game 2 Winner62%
Game 1 Winner61%
Ends in Daytime54%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Any Player Ultra Kill37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Any Player Rampage28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage6%
Any Player Rampage6%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to dota 2: team yandex vs nigma galaxy (bo3) - the international playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Yandex and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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