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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 69% Game 1 Winner 66% Game 2 Winner 65% Both Teams Beat Roshan 52% Volume: $358K Liquidity: $657K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner69%
Game 1 Winner66%
Game 2 Winner65%
Both Teams Beat Roshan52%
Any Player Ultra Kill52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)46%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?44%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks40%
Both Teams Beat Roshan39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan39%
Any Player Ultra Kill39%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks38%
Any Player Ultra Kill38%
Any Player Rampage8%
Any Player Rampage7%

Market context

Market consensus: 69% chance of dota 2: team spirit vs team liquid (bo3) - esports world cup survival. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 15 at 10:30AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports W… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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