Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

FTS and PuckChamp have already played in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, with the listed BO3 lower-bracket round 1 tie producing a 2-0 FTS win on 8 August at 13:00 UTC. That means a live market showing **100% YES** for FTS was consistent with the result being effectively known once the series reached a completed finish, rather than reflecting any lingering uncertainty about the fixture itself.[1][8]

For a trader reading this programmatically, the useful analogue is a market where the only material risks are data latency, settlement rules, or bracket mislabelling, not competitive upside. Comparable pre-match signals were mixed: Strafe’s preview leaned PuckChamp 61.5% to FTS 38.5%, while Polymarket’s esports page showed PuckChamp at about 69% and FTS at 32% before the result was recorded, whereas the actual series ended 2-0 to FTS.[2][11] That gap is a reminder that raw crowd pricing can lag fast-moving tournament outcomes, especially in smaller online events with limited liquidity.[2][11]

The main catalysts to monitor in similar Dota 2 markets are official bracket updates, match-start confirmations, and whether the series is completed rather than forfeited or voided under the market’s seven-day settlement rule. Asgard’s schedule page shows the playoff match block on 8 August, and third-party live-score pages confirmed the fixture and final score shortly after start time, which is the sort of data a bot or conditional-order workflow would use to flip from uncertainty to resolved status.[5][10][1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.