Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AC Horsens O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Nordsjælland 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AC Horsens (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland (-1.5) | 0% |
| AC Horsens (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AC Horsens O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| AC Horsens O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Nordsjælland 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
AC Horsens face FC Nordsjælland in the Denmark Superliga, and this market asks whether there will be additional “more markets” settlement-relevant outcomes attached to the fixture before the window closes. With the crowd-implied probability at 0%, the starting point is that participants are pricing the absence of any qualifying extra market as the base case, so the useful comparison is not team strength but whether the event page, settlement rules or sportsbook-style offering structure actually allows a follow-on market to appear and resolve during the window.
For power users running this programmatically, the practical read is to monitor the event feed rather than the teams: look for late market creation, suspension, postponement, or rule edits that could change what counts as an eligible outcome before 16:00 UTC. Comparable cases on sports listings often resolve mechanically from the platform’s published market metadata, so conditional orders and copy-trading logic should key off status changes, not live match state. In the absence of a new market being listed or a settlement rule update, a 0% YES price is consistent with no actionable catalyst.
Methodology
This page reviews AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →