Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

This market tracks the Lower Bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 9INE and GamerLegion in the Super DraculaN Group A, originally scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 24 June 2026. The crowd-implied probability of 9INE winning sits at 0%, reflecting a stark historical disadvantage. In their most recent encounter at Stake Ranked Episode 1, GamerLegion secured a decisive 2-0 victory over 9INE on Ancient and Inferno, advancing to the Upper Bracket Semi-Finals while 9INE dropped to the Lower Bracket[1]. This result aligns with a broader pattern where GamerLegion, ranked 22 globally, has consistently outperformed 9INE, ranked 47, with a current streak showing four consecutive losses for 9INE in their head-to-head CS2 meetings[2][3].

A programmatic trader would treat this 0% probability as a near-certain signal for conditional orders favouring GamerLegion, but must monitor for match cancellation or delay beyond seven days, which would reset the market to a 50-50 outcome. Key catalysts include the official start time confirmation and any roster changes; Liquipedia confirms GamerLegion is a German organisation founded in 2017 with an active CS2 roster, suggesting stability[5]. While no specific recent news article on roster shifts is available in the current search results, traders should watch the tournament’s official Discord or Liquipedia event page for real-time updates on delays or cancellations, as these dependencies directly impact settlement. The market resolves to 9INE if they win, to GamerLegion if they win, and to 50-50 if the match is not played, tied, or delayed excessively[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.