Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Market context
The underlying event is the third women’s ODI between Ireland and the West Indies, scheduled for 15 July 2026 at Bready Cricket Club, with the match already underway as of today’s 6 PM UTC timestamp. The market’s 0% YES probability implies near-certainty that Ireland will not win, a stance that aligns with the West Indies’ historical dominance in this fixture and their superior ranking in women’s ODI cricket.
Historically, the West Indies Women have won 7 of the 9 ODIs played against Ireland, including a 3–0 series sweep in their only previous bilateral encounter in 2023[1]. In women’s ODIs overall, the West Indies hold a top-10 ICC ranking while Ireland remains outside the top 20, a gap that consistently translates to low win probabilities for the Irish side in head-to-head markets. This structural disparity explains why the crowd-implied probability sits at 0% rather than a marginal figure.
Traders should monitor the official match result on ESPNcricinfo for resolution, but programmatically, the key catalysts are the toss outcome, pitch conditions at Bready, and any late squad changes announced before the 10:45 AM start[1]. Conditional order bots should watch for real-time score updates via cricket data APIs, as a Super Over tiebreak—if triggered—would override the on-field result and alter settlement logic. No recent news disruption has been reported, but the ICC’s women’s ODI schedule confirms no postponements for this fixture[2].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $241K.
Methodology
This page reviews ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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