Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 55% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
The match is the Women’s Hundred fixture between MI London and Trent Rockets at the Kia Oval, and the market’s 0% YES price implies traders are treating the named side as having no realistic path to the listed outcome unless the match is formally re-routed by competition rules. Current team context points the other way: Trent Rockets sit at the top end of the table with a strong points return and net run-rate, while MI London have been near the bottom with only one win and a much weaker NRR.[1][3][12][13]
For historical framing, comparable results in this season and recent head-to-heads matter more than reputation. Trent Rockets have already beaten other opponents comfortably and are deep into a successful campaign, while MI London’s recent record against the Rockets has been mixed but generally competitive in low-scoring Hundred contests, including a narrow one-wicket win in 2024 and a washout in 2021; in 2026, the Rockets also beat London Spirit and then suffered a close defeat to them, which shows the market can move sharply on single-match form rather than season-long strength.[3][4][10][12][13]
A programmatic trader would watch the confirmed toss, final XI, weather, and any schedule disruption closely, because the settlement rules treat DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeits and walkovers as ordinary wins, while ties depend on whether the playing conditions provide a tiebreak. That means a bot or conditional order set-up should key off official match status and result logic rather than just score progression; live feeds from the Hundred and score providers showed the fixture listed for 8 August at the Oval, with Rockets winning the toss and choosing to bowl, which is exactly the kind of pre-match dependency that can shift implied probabilities rapidly.[3][7][11]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $109K.
Methodology
This page reviews The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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