Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
18% | 82% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
18% | 82% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD | 18% |
| Any Other Score | 18% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 1 Levante UD | 13% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 0 Levante UD | 10% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 1 Levante UD | 9% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 0 Levante UD | 7% |
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 1 Levante UD | 6% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 2 Levante UD | 6% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 2 Levante UD | 6% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 1 Levante UD | 5% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 0 Levante UD | 4% |
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 2 Levante UD | 3% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 2 Levante UD | 3% |
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
Market context
CF Villarreal C and Levante UD meet in a club friendly, and the crowd price of **18% YES** implies a relatively low chance that the eventual final score lands on one of the listed exact-score outcomes rather than the market’s catch-all alternative. For power users running this programmatically, the key point is that settlement depends only on the official full-time score after any agreed playing format, so a late reshuffle in duration, substitutions or added periods does not change the scoring logic unless the final result itself differs.
Historical and comparable results point to a fixture that has usually produced a clear winner rather than a tightly symmetric scoreline. Across recent head-to-head records, Villarreal have held the upper hand overall, including a **1-0** league win over Levante in February 2026, while broader H2H datasets show Villarreal leading the series with far more wins than Levante and relatively few draws.[2][3][17] That profile tends to favour exact scores such as narrow home wins or modest totals, but it also leaves room for “Any Other Score” because friendlies often introduce youth players, mixed line-ups and less stable defensive structure than league matches, making exact-score matching harder to model from historical league data alone.[2][4][18]
The main catalysts are lineup confirmation, whether the friendly is completed as scheduled, and any late change to the match format or venue, because the market remains open if the fixture is postponed until it is actually played. Traders using bots or conditional orders would typically watch the official team sheet and live score feeds close to kick-off, since exact-score markets are highly sensitive to early goals and to whether either side fields a rotated XI; recent reporting and live stat pages also show this pairing has tended to generate goals, with Villarreal often scoring and Levante rarely keeping clean sheets in the sampled recent meetings.[1][10][11][13]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score on Polymarket Review UK
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