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1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian

Five-platform snapshot of "1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1. FC Cologne 100% Draw 0% Real Sociedad San Sebastian 0% Volume: $199K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1. FC Cologne100%
Draw0%
Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%

Market context

1. FC Cologne and Real Sociedad San Sebastian are scheduled to meet in a club friendly at the RheinEnergieStadion, with local reporting from Köln confirming the fixture and the club noting a closed-door test the previous evening as part of the same preparation block.[4][12] For a market sitting at a crowd-implied 100% YES, the key point for traders is that these preseason friendlies are usually more about squad management than result quality, so programmatic approaches should weight confirmed kick-off details, team news and whether either side has shifted into a separate training or travel plan more than historical win rates.

Comparable context points to a broadly positive read for the listed event, but not necessarily a clean information edge on the football itself. Köln and Sociedad have met before in European competition, with UEFA listing a 1-1 head-to-head record across their 1988/89 tie, which is useful mainly as a reminder that the clubs are not strangers to one another rather than as a predictor of a friendly outcome.[7][8] More recent market and statistical pages frame this as an exhibition with rotation risk, while alternative tracking sites show inconsistent live metadata on date and kick-off time, so automated traders should treat the event record as the primary source of truth rather than third-party scoreboards.[2][13][15]

The main catalysts are administrative, not tactical: any late change to the published schedule, venue, or the planned closed-door match could affect resolution if the market is tied to the named friendly, and line-up announcements may matter more for side markets than for the binary event itself.[4] Reuters-style schedule reporting is not available in the supplied sources, so the most actionable feed is the club announcement and any subsequent team-news release from either side; in a bot workflow, that means watching for official squad posts, travel updates, and whether both clubs keep the public friendly on the announced date after the behind-closed-doors session.[4][20]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1. FC Cologne at 100% for "1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian".

1. FC Cologne 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $199K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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