Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) | 0% |
| Chelsea FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur are meeting in a pre-season friendly in Sydney, and the “More markets” contract is about how many auxiliary stat lines, props or micro-markets the exchange chooses to list around that fixture. In programmatic terms, a trader would treat this as a sparse-liquidity, event-driven feed check: watch whether a market-set is created at all, whether it stays open into the settlement window, and whether the final slate includes enough additional offerings to resolve the contract positively. The current 0% crowd-implied price reflects that no such extra market bundle has been surfaced yet, rather than saying anything about the football itself.
Comparable Chelsea–Spurs meetings have often generated high market activity because the fixture is historically one-sided and occasionally volatile. Chelsea have won six of the last six meetings cited in recent reporting, including a 2–1 Premier League win in May 2026, while club historical summaries show Chelsea with 83 wins to Tottenham’s 55 across 181 meetings.[1][13] For a power-user, that history matters less for match outcome than for expected catalogue depth: derbies with stronger in-play narratives often attract more side markets, but friendlies can also be shallow if the operator keeps the board tight.[1][16]
The main catalysts are operational rather than tactical: the published match slate, any late team-news notes, and whether the operator adds or removes proposition markets as kick-off approaches. Recent reporting framed this friendly as a squad-evaluation exercise for Chelsea and Tottenham, with both sides using it to test new managers and integrate signings, which can increase the chance of unusual market types if the platform exposes them.[1] A trader monitoring this programmatically would track the market list, settlement text, and any pre-match announcements from the clubs or organiser, because those are the dependencies that determine whether “More markets” resolves yes or no.
Methodology
This page reviews Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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