Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 27.5 | 93% |
| Spread -0.5 | 92% |
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| O/U 29.5 | 90% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -5.5 | 86% |
| O/U 31.5 | 85% |
| Spread -6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| Spread -7.5 | 80% |
| Spread -8.5 | 79% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| Wisconsin O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Notre Dame O/U 25.5 | 78% |
| Notre Dame O/U 26.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| Spread -13.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 27.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -14.5 | 67% |
| Notre Dame O/U 28.5 | 67% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Wisconsin O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Notre Dame O/U 29.5 | 66% |
| Spread -16.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| Wisconsin O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| O/U 41.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 30.5 | 62% |
| Spread -17.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -20.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| Notre Dame O/U 31.5 | 55% |
| Notre Dame O/U 32.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Wisconsin O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 45.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| Notre Dame O/U 33.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| O/U 47.5 | 46% |
| Wisconsin O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| Spread -24.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 41% |
| Notre Dame O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| Notre Dame O/U 36.5 | 39% |
| Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| Notre Dame O/U 37.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -27.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| Wisconsin O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 53.5 | 31% |
| Wisconsin O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Notre Dame O/U 39.5 | 31% |
| Notre Dame O/U 38.5 | 30% |
| Notre Dame O/U 40.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 26% |
| Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Spread -31.5 | 24% |
| Wisconsin O/U 18.5 | 24% |
| Wisconsin O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 57.5 | 22% |
| Spread -34.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| O/U 61.5 | 16% |
| Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| 1H Moneyline | 12% |
| Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 8% |
| Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to wisconsin vs. notre dame. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". I…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.
Methodology
This page reviews Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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