Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 88% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| O/U 41.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| Hawai'i O/U 20.5 | 73% |
| UNLV O/U 22.5 | 71% |
| O/U 47.5 | 69% |
| UNLV O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| Hawai'i O/U 21.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| Hawai'i O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| UNLV O/U 25.5 | 61% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| UNLV O/U 26.5 | 59% |
| UNLV vs. Hawai'i | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| Hawai'i O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Hawai'i O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| Spread -34.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Cam Barfield: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Micah Alejado: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Diezel Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Hawai'i O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Blaze Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tama Uiliata: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeVon Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devin Alves: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Audric Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tre Griffiths: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kainoa Carvalho: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Byrnes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| UNLV O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| UNLV O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| Hawai'i O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread: UNLV (-3.5) | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 58.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Hawai'i O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| UNLV O/U 32.5 | 37% |
| UNLV O/U 31.5 | 37% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| Hawai'i O/U 30.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| Hawai'i O/U 32.5 | 30% |
| UNLV O/U 34.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Hawai'i O/U 33.5 | 28% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| UNLV O/U 35.5 | 26% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| O/U 71.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 15% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| O/U 75.5 | 11% |
| O/U 77.5 | 9% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
Market context
The UNLV vs. Hawai'i prediction market currently prices this outcome at 88% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If UNLV wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV". If Hawai'i wins, the market will resolve to "Hawai'i". If the game is p…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $275K.
Methodology
This page reviews UNLV vs. Hawai'i across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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