Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread: Nebraska (-24.5) | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Colandrea: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Mekhi Nelson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jamal Rule: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kwazi Gilmer: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Nick Poulos: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kwinten Ives: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Victor Rosa: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinn Clark: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cortez Mills Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Rodarte: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Nebraska | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Mozee: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Nyziah Hunter: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Duncan Brune: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jacory Barney Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Luke Lindenmeyer: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Preston Bowman: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Eian Pugh: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Dom Dorwart: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| AJ Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Andrew Metzger: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ohio vs. nebraska stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Ohio wins, the market will resolve to "Ohio". If Nebraska wins, the market will resolve to "Nebra…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
This page reviews Ohio vs. Nebraska across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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