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Ball State vs. Ohio State

Five-platform snapshot of "Ball State vs. Ohio State" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -0.5 99% Spread -8.5 99% Spread -13.5 95% Spread -4.5 76% Volume: $49K Liquidity: $115K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Ball State vs. Ohio State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.599%
Spread -8.599%
Spread -13.595%
Spread -4.576%
O/U 48.565%
O/U 54.554%
Spread -10.553%
O/U 36.553%
Spread -2.552%
Spread -5.552%
Spread -6.552%
Spread -7.552%
O/U 42.552%
Spread -1.551%
Spread -3.551%
O/U 66.551%
1H Spread -30.551%
Ohio State O/U 52.551%
Ball State O/U 2.551%
4Q Spread -12.551%
Ohio State 2H O/U 23.551%
Ball State 2H O/U 2.551%
Ohio State O/U 47.551%
Ohio State O/U 53.551%
Spread -49.551%
Spread: Ohio State (-50.5)50%
O/U 56.550%
Spread -14.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -24.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 52.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 70.550%
O/U 74.550%
O/U 76.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -26.550%
1H Spread -27.550%
1H Spread -29.550%
1Q Spread -11.550%
1Q Spread -12.550%
1Q Spread -13.550%
1Q Spread -14.550%
1Q Spread -15.550%
Ohio State O/U 46.550%
Ohio State O/U 49.550%
Ohio State O/U 55.550%
Ohio State O/U 58.550%
Ball State O/U 5.550%
Ball State O/U 8.550%
1H Spread -25.550%
2H Spread -19.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H Spread -22.550%
2H Spread -23.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -14.550%
2Q Spread -15.550%
2Q Spread -16.550%
2Q Spread -17.550%
2Q Spread -18.550%
3Q Spread -10.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q Spread -12.550%
3Q Spread -13.550%
3Q Spread -14.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -10.550%
4Q Spread -11.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Ball State O/U 1.550%
Ball State O/U 4.550%
Ball State O/U 7.550%
Ball State O/U 10.550%
Ball State O/U 13.550%
Ball State 1H O/U 0.550%
Ball State 1H O/U 2.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 27.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 29.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 31.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 21.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 25.550%
Ball State 2H O/U 0.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
Ohio State O/U 50.550%
Ohio State O/U 56.550%
Ohio State O/U 59.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 28.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 30.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 32.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 20.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 22.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 24.550%
1Q Spread -10.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
O/U 60.549%
1H Spread -28.549%
O/U 58.544%
O/U 55.544%
O/U 72.543%
Ball State vs. Ohio State0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to ball state vs. ohio state. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:30PM ET: If Ball State wins, the market will resolve to "Ball State". If Ohio State wins, the market will resolve to "Ohio State"…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 99% for "Ball State vs. Ohio State".

Spread -0.5 99% Other 1%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $49K.

Methodology

We track Ball State vs. Ohio State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Ball State vs. Ohio State on Polymarket Review UK

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Related Topics

Sports