Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 0 Clube do Remo | 26% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 3 Clube do Remo | 25% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 0 Clube do Remo | 23% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 3 Clube do Remo | 14% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 1 Clube do Remo | 12% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 1 Clube do Remo | 11% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 0 Clube do Remo | 11% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 1 Clube do Remo | 5% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 2 Clube do Remo | 3% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 2 Clube do Remo | 2% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 2 Clube do Remo | 1% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 1 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional host Clube do Remo in a Série A round 23 fixture at Estádio Beira-Rio, with the match listed for 17 August 2026 at 23:00 UTC. The current 0% yes price implies the exact-score contract is effectively treating listed scorelines as vanishingly unlikely, so programme-style traders would usually model this as a settlement-risk check rather than a directional football view.
The closest read comes from recent form and comparable score distribution. Internacional have been in a low-margin run, with recent league results including 0-0 away to Palmeiras and a 2-2 draw at home to Atlético Mineiro, while their cup tie with Corinthians ended 2-1 on aggregate in the opposition’s favour. Remo’s recent league pattern has also featured mixed, modest-scoring games, including 2-2 with Atlético Mineiro, which makes narrow home wins, draws, and low totals the most relevant cluster for exact-score mapping.
For a programmatic approach, the key catalysts are lineup confirmation, any late postponement notice, and whether the event is still live on the scheduled settlement window end of 17 August 2026 23:00 UTC. Exact-score markets are highly sensitive to whether a listed scoreline is actually available in the market set, so bots and conditional orders normally watch for the official kick-off time, venue confirmation, and any match-state changes that could push settlement beyond the original window.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - Exact Score on Polymarket Review UK
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