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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner

Five-platform snapshot of "BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

A 50% B 50% C 50% D 50% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $1.0M
Open live market →
BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
A50%
B50%
C50%
D50%
E50%
Other50%
Vitality28%
Falcons24%
Spirit24%
FURIA10%
G25%
Aurora4%
MOUZ3%
FUT2%
The MongolZ1%
GamerLegion1%
Astralis1%
magic1%
paiN1%
FaZe1%
Liquid1%
Alliance1%
3DMAX1%
EYEBALLERS1%
HEROIC1%
M800%
Ninjas in Pyjamas0%
Sharks0%
Nemesis0%
Gentle Mates0%
Wildcard0%
SINNERS0%
FOKUS0%
Nuclear TigeRES0%
HOTU0%
100 Thieves0%
OG0%
Nemiga0%

Market context

The BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner prediction market currently prices this outcome at 50% YES. This market will resolve according to the winner of BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is postponed unti…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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