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Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

Five-platform snapshot of "Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $592K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 21.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner50%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 22.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 23.550%
Completed Match0%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to canadian open, qualification: alexei popyrin vs thanasi kokkinakis. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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