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Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli

Five-platform snapshot of "Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5 100% Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 Winner 100% Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $206K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 Winner100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 22.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 23.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli0%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 Winner0%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of cordenons: alvaro guillen meza vs federico bondioli. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Federico Bondioli in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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