Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open: adrian mannarino vs learner tien. This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Learner Tien in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adria…
Methodology
We track Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien on Polymarket Review UK
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