Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of croatia open: pablo carreno busta vs camilo ugo carabelli. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market …
Methodology
This page reviews Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Cara… on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →