Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifying fixture on 13 June 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 21:00 ET. The market settles on whether combined corner count exceeds a threshold, with current odds implying a 24% probability of "yes." This particular matchup sits at the intersection of two teams with markedly different tactical profiles and recent competitive form, making corner frequency a measurable proxy for possession intensity and defensive pressure.

Historical World Cup qualifying matches involving Caribbean nations against European sides show corner totals clustering between 8 and 14, depending heavily on whether the European team dominates possession. Scotland's recent qualifying campaigns (2022 World Cup cycle) averaged 9.2 corners per match; Haiti's Copa América appearances in 2024 saw lower corner counts, typically 6–8 per game, reflecting their defensive shape and limited attacking thrust. The current 24% probability suggests the market is pricing in a Scotland-controlled match with moderate corner accumulation, rather than a chaotic or highly competitive encounter. Traders building conditional orders should note that early team news—particularly Scotland squad availability and Haiti's tactical setup—will shift this significantly within 48 hours of fixture day.

Monitoring official FIFA communications and team media releases through early June will flag injury withdrawals or formation changes. Scotland's European opponents in recent friendlies (March–May 2026) will provide the most recent comparable data on their corner generation under match conditions. Programmatic traders can layer this market against live corner trackers during the first 20 minutes; early corner frequency often predicts final totals with reasonable accuracy, allowing for conditional exits or position adjustments.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.