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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "England vs. DR Congo - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots 91% Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots 89% Noni Madueke: 1+ shots 77% Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots 69% Volume: $236K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots91%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots89%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots77%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots69%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots68%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots68%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target66%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target60%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals55%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target53%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots52%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists49%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists49%
Dean Henderson: 3+ saves48%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target47%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target47%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots on target47%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots on target47%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target47%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target47%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target47%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists47%
Timothy Fayulu: 3+ saves46%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots46%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots46%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots on target46%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots on target46%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on target46%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots on target46%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target46%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target46%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target46%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots on target46%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots on target46%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target46%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target46%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists46%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists46%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists46%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists46%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists46%
Dean Henderson: 5+ saves44%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots44%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target44%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots42%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots41%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assists41%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots39%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists39%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots37%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists35%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists35%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals + assists35%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target32%
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists29%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals28%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals28%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots26%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots24%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots24%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists24%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target23%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists23%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots22%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots21%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists21%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists21%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals19%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots19%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target19%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals18%
Noni Madueke: 1+ assists18%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists17%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots16%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots14%
Noni Madueke: 5+ shots14%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists14%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots13%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ assists13%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists12%
Timothy Fayulu: 4+ saves11%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target11%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals10%
Dean Henderson: 2+ saves10%
Dean Henderson: 4+ saves10%
Timothy Fayulu: 2+ saves10%
Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves10%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots10%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists10%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals9%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target9%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals8%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots8%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists8%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists8%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals + assists8%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals7%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots on target7%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target7%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots on target7%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots on target7%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals6%
Bukayo Saka: 5+ shots6%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists6%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists6%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals5%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals5%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists5%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals4%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots4%
Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots4%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots4%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists4%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists4%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals + assists4%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals3%
Noni Madueke: 2+ assists3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals2%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals2%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals2%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals2%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 5+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 5+ shots2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots on target2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals1%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals1%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists1%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals0%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 91% YES probability for England vs. DR Congo - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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