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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Review UK.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 92% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 88% Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots 76% Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots 69% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots92%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots88%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots76%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots69%
Casemiro: 1+ shots68%
Rayan: 1+ shots68%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots62%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots61%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots54%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots54%
Endrick: 1+ shots54%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists53%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots53%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots52%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots51%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots51%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists50%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots on target50%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists49%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target49%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target49%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target49%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists49%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target49%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target49%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists48%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target48%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target48%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target48%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists48%
Alisson: 4+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves48%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target48%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots47%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target47%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target47%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists47%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target47%
Alisson: 5+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves47%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists47%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists47%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists47%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists47%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists47%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target47%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target47%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target47%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target47%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists46%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists46%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists46%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots46%
Alisson: 2+ saves46%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots44%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target42%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals39%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target39%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists39%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists38%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists37%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists37%
Endrick: 2+ shots33%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target33%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists32%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals30%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists29%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target29%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots28%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists28%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists28%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots28%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots28%
Alisson: 3+ saves28%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots27%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots27%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots25%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots25%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists25%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists25%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists25%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists24%
Rayan: 3+ shots23%
Rayan: 2+ shots23%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists23%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists22%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists22%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists22%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists22%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots22%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots22%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists21%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots21%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots21%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target20%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target20%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target20%
Endrick: 3+ shots20%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals19%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots19%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots19%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots19%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots19%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots19%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots19%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists17%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists17%
Rayan: 1+ goals17%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots16%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots15%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists15%
Rayan: 4+ shots14%
Casemiro: 2+ shots14%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists14%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots14%
Endrick: 4+ shots14%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots14%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots14%
Endrick: 1+ goals14%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals14%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target14%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists14%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target14%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists13%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target13%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots13%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals13%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists13%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists13%
Rayan: 3+ goals12%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals12%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target11%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots11%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists11%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists11%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots11%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Rayan: 1+ assists10%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots10%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals10%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals10%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots10%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals10%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists10%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists10%
Rayan: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals9%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists9%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots9%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots9%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists9%
Endrick: 5+ shots9%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals9%
Rayan: 2+ assists8%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals8%
Casemiro: 1+ assists8%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots8%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots8%
Casemiro: 1+ goals7%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals7%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals7%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots7%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target7%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists7%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals6%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists6%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists6%
Endrick: 2+ goals6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals6%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists5%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists5%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals5%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists5%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists4%
Rayan: 2+ goals4%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals3%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals3%
Casemiro: 2+ assists3%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists3%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists3%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals2%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists2%
Casemiro: 2+ goals2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals2%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals2%
Raphinha: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals1%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals1%
Endrick: 3+ goals1%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals1%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 1+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 23% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-06-29T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We track Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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