Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Utrecht | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FC Utrecht face SC Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Thursday evening, with the market window tied to the match kick-off rather than the full result. With the crowd already at 100% YES, the contract is effectively being priced as a near-certain calendar event: the useful check for a trader is not the football itself, but whether the fixture still sits in the official schedule and has not been postponed, abandoned or moved outside the settlement cut-off. For a programmatic workflow, that means treating the exchange price as a venue-and-time validation problem, then confirming the league feed, club channels and live-score providers all still show the same start time.
Recent comparable cases suggest this sort of market only moves if the underlying event integrity changes, not because of team news. FotMob has the fixture listed at Stadion Galgenwaard, while ESPN and Sofascore both show a 21 May 2026 Utrecht-Heerenveen match, and ESPN’s live page has already recorded a final score of Utrecht 3-2 Heerenveen, which strongly indicates the game has been played as scheduled. In practical terms, a trader using bots or conditional orders would only need to monitor for late administrative changes, since the main dependency is completion before the 19:00 UTC settlement point. If the match is already concluded in the data feed, there is little residual uncertainty left for the market to absorb.
Methodology
We track FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen on PolyGram
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