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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Aston Villa FC 5 - 0 Manchester City FC 49% Aston Villa FC 5 - 3 Manchester City FC 49% Aston Villa FC 5 - 5 Manchester City FC 49% Aston Villa FC 5 - 4 Manchester City FC 44% Volume: $150K Liquidity: $690K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Aston Villa FC 5 - 0 Manchester City FC49%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 3 Manchester City FC49%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 5 Manchester City FC49%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 4 Manchester City FC44%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 5 Manchester City FC43%
Any Other Score42%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC18%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC17%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC11%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Manchester City FC10%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Manchester City FC9%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Manchester City FC7%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 3 Manchester City FC7%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 3 Manchester City FC5%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC3%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 0 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 4 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 1 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 1 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 5 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 4 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 2 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 5 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 4 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 2 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 3 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 4 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 4 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 3 Manchester City FC0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 49% probability to aston villa fc vs. manchester city fc - exact score. In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aston Villa FC…

Methodology

We track Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score on Polymarket Review UK

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