Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.1M
- 24h volume
- $1.1M
- Liquidity
- $556K
- Open interest
- $733K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Available prediction outcomes (90)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
PARIVISION and BetBoom Team are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match within DreamLeague's Group B stage on 14 May at 06:00 ET. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC the same day, allowing a six-hour window for match completion. The 62% implied probability favours PARIVISION, reflecting their recent form or perceived roster strength relative to BetBoom Team in the current competitive environment.
Historical precedent suggests DreamLeague group matches typically conclude within the scheduled window, though technical delays and server issues have occasionally extended proceedings. Comparable Eastern European regional matchups in 2024–2025 Dota 2 tournaments show completion rates above 95% on the scheduled date, with forfeits remaining uncommon at this stage of established league play. BetBoom Team's historical performance against similarly ranked opponents provides a baseline for assessing whether the current 62% weighting reflects genuine skill differential or market overweighting of recent results.
Traders monitoring this match programmatically should track roster confirmations and stand-in announcements up to match time, as last-minute substitutions have occasionally shifted competitive balance in regional Dota 2 fixtures. DreamLeague's official schedule and any posted delays via their social channels or the official Dota 2 esports platform should be polled regularly. The six-hour settlement window creates execution risk for conditional orders; positions should account for the possibility of technical delays pushing resolution toward the 50-50 tie-breaker threshold, particularly if either team experiences connectivity issues during game two or three.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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