Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
52% | 48% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
52% | 48% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 52% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 49% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 46% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 45% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 41% |
| Map 1 Winner | 34% |
| Map 2 Winner | 28% |
| Match Winner | 23% |
Market context
Market consensus: 52% chance of counter-strike: sinners vs fut esports (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Sinners and FUT Esports in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 23 at 8:30AM ET. This market…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST… on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →