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Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) 90% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Volume: $170K Liquidity: $548K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)55%
Map 1 Winner51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-6.5) vs ex-RUBY (+6.5)45%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-9.5) vs Black Phoenix (+9.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5)10%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: ex-ruby vs black phoenix (bo3) - moscow cyber games european qualifier group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between ex-RUBY and Black Phoenix in the Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 23…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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