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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 100% Volume: $651K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs K27 (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-12.5) vs 3DMAX (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs K27 (+6.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: 3dmax vs k27 (bo3) - stake ranked episode 3 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between 3DMAX and K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 1:30PM ET. …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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