ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland and Ireland will contest a Women's T20 World Cup match on 13 June 2026, with the fixture forming part of the tournament's group stage. The current 100% YES probability reflects the market's assessment that the match will occur and produce a decisive result. Given the settlement window closes on 20 June 2026—a week after the scheduled date—the market allows for potential fixture postponement or rescheduling due to weather or other operational factors common in cricket tournaments.

Historical precedent suggests women's T20 World Cup matches between associate nations rarely fail to produce outcomes. Since the ICC expanded the Women's T20 World Cup format in 2014, fixture cancellations have been rare, though weather delays in June (the proposed month) can affect scheduling in certain venues. The 100% probability likely reflects confidence in tournament infrastructure and the low likelihood of both teams withdrawing or the match being abandoned without resolution. Traders monitoring comparable fixtures should note that even rain-affected matches typically proceed to a result via Duckworth-Lewis-Stern adjustments or Super Over tiebreaks, both of which count as ordinary wins under this market's settlement criteria.

Programmatic traders should track ICC announcements regarding venue confirmation and weather forecasts as the June date approaches. Fixture lists and team squad announcements typically emerge 4–6 weeks before tournament commencement. Any changes to the tournament schedule, venue relocation, or official postponement notices would signal material shifts in match probability. ESPNcricinfo's live coverage and official ICC communications remain the primary data sources for tracking match status through the settlement window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.