Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
On Saturday 27 June 2026 at 07:00 ET, Liaoning Tieren FC will face Shandong Taishan FC in a Chinese Super League match at Tiexi New District Sports Centre, with the crowd-implied probability for “more markets” currently sitting at 0% YES. This binary outcome hinges on whether additional betting options—such as conditional orders, copy-trading signals, or enhanced in-play markets—are activated for this fixture, a rare event in the league’s recent calendar.
Historically, similar “more markets” triggers in the Super League have occurred only when top-tier clubs like Shandong Taishan (currently fifth-placed with 8 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses) face mid-table rivals with strong possession stats (Liaoning Tieren holds 50.1% average possession), prompting bookmakers to expand offerings[3][4]. Past head-to-head data shows Shandong Taishan has dominated Liaoning Tieren in their two prior meetings, scoring 8 goals while conceding just 1, suggesting limited volatility that might deter market expansion[1].
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements from the Chinese Football Association regarding schedule dependencies or player availability, as these often catalyse new market launches. Recent coverage from Sportsgambler notes Liaoning Tieren’s value wager status with a 54.3% win probability, which could influence conditional order availability if odds shift significantly before kick-off[3]. Any delay in the match start time or unexpected lineup changes would be critical dependencies for triggering additional markets.
Methodology
We track Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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