Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% |
| O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) | 14% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 4% |
| O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 1% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to shanghai shenhua fc vs. tianjin jinmen hu fc - more markets. More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 18 at 7:35 AM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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