Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
59% | 41% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
59% | 41% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 0.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5 | 20% |
| O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score | 6% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5 | 5% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) | 4% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5 | 2% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 2% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) | 1% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 59% YES probability for Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC - More Markets. More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for August 14 at 8:00 AM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC - … on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →