Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

A Chinese Super League fixture between Beijing Guoan FC and Henan FC is scheduled for Saturday, 23 May 2026. The settlement window closes at 11:35 UTC that same day, allowing roughly half a day post-kickoff for resolution. The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds; either way, the market presents a calibration test for conditional order logic and real-time feed integration.

Beijing Guoan and Henan FC occupy different tiers of competitive stability within the Super League ecosystem. Guoan, based in the capital and historically well-resourced, has maintained mid-to-upper table finishes across recent seasons, whilst Henan's trajectory has been more volatile, including a period of financial restructuring that affected squad depth. Historical head-to-head records and home advantage dynamics—Guoan plays at Guo'an Training Base in Beijing—typically favour the hosts in Chinese domestic football, though form tables closer to May 2026 will be the operative signal.

Traders monitoring this market should track squad injury bulletins and any late-season managerial changes announced in the week prior to kickoff. Chinese Super League scheduling occasionally shifts due to international fixture congestion or weather; confirmation of the 23 May date and venue should be verified against official CSL communications. For programmatic approaches, setting conditional orders tied to team news feeds or official league announcements will be more reliable than static probability anchors, given the market's current illiquidity and the compressed settlement window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.